KORU LONG · 4h
| Entry | 19.7~20.5 |
|---|---|
| Stop | 18.9 |
| Target | 22.99 / 24.5 |
| R:R | 2.41 |
| Confidence | 48% |
Rationale
- Re-analyzed on 20:1 split-adjusted (NYSE-basis) data: the earlier 'cliff' was an unadjusted-feed artifact; the real picture is a 40->20 decline into oversold (RSI 33). Triple regular bullish divergence on 1h/4h/12h (divergence long, conf 60, RR 2.34) confirms downside momentum is fading.
- TSMC's beat is a direct catalyst for Korean semis: same-day KOSPI +6.24% (back to 7,284), SK Hynix ADR +27%, a sharp Samsung rebound, and confirmation of SK Hynix HBM4 volume supply to Nvidia's Vera Rubin (+30% pricing). Strong near-term tailwind for KORU (3x Samsung/SK Hynix).
- 2:1 RR rule: the survivors are a divergence long (RR 2.34) and an ICT short (RR 2.14) - directly opposed, so technicals alone say stand aside; the macro/news catalyst tips the balance to a low-conviction bounce long. Wyckoff neutral (RR 2.0) and Elliott short (RR 1.83) are discarded.
- Plan: buy the 19.7-20.5 support (price 20.5 is the top of the entry zone) / stop 18.9 / T1 22.99, T2 24.5, RR 2.41. If rejected at 22.6-23.4, take profit and step aside.
Invalidation
4h 종가 17.91 하회 시 롱 무효(5파 하락 재개)
Context
22.6~23.4(4h EMA20·ICT 프리미엄)이 1차 저항이자 매도 관점 진입대 — 여기서 거부되면 T1 근접. 24.97 상방 종가 시 하락추세 무효(상승전환)