KORU SHORT · 4h
| Entry | 22~23.5 |
|---|---|
| Stop | 24.2 |
| Target | 19.58 / 17.91 |
| R:R | 2.2 |
| Confidence | 55% |
Rationale
- 20:1 stock-split data correction (NYSE basis): the earlier '95% crash' was an unadjusted-feed artifact; the real picture is an orderly multi-week decline from ~40 to ~21 (about -45%).
- Macro risk-off headwind: KOSPI in a bear market (-26%), Samsung / SK Hynix chip selloff ongoing. Every timeframe's EMAs are in full bearish order with LH/LL structure.
- Applying the 2:1 RR rule: only the ICT short (RR 2.2) and macro short (RR 2.19) survive. The Elliott short (1.9), divergence long (1.6) and Wyckoff neutral are discarded.
- Rally-sell plan: enter 22.0-23.5 (4h EMA20 resistance) / stop 24.2 / T1 19.58, T2 17.91, RR 2.2. Price 20.8 is a wait-for-entry zone (needs a bounce).
Invalidation
4h 종가 24.2 상방 시 숏 무효(스윙고 이탈)
Context
4h EMA20(≈23) 되돌림 저항 — 이 구간 반등에서만 매도. 26.9 상방 종가 시 하락추세 자체 무효